Risk Register
What could go wrong in the space supply chain between 2026 and 2030, how likely is it and how much would it matter?
Chapter summary
Setcoin lists eighteen risks.
Key takeaways
- 1
The highest-scoring combine likelihood and impact: a lapse or tightening of China's mineral export controls after 27 November 2026, continued shortfalls of merchant optical terminals, solid motor capacity absorbed by missile demand, and launch delays for constellations without their own rockets.
- 2
Several low-likelihood risks have very high impact, notably the loss of a rad-hard foundry line and a conflict that destroys satellites faster than the chain can replace them.
Keep reading with Space access
This chapter (1 exhibits, 695 words) is part of Space & aerospace. Space access opens every chapter of all 11 Space reports, with the interactive models, Excel downloads, Ask and named Atlas records.
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