Risk Register
What could go wrong for the lunar economy between 2026 and 2035, how likely is it, and what would it do?
Chapter summary
Setcoin rates eighteen risks on likelihood and impact from 1 to 5.
Key takeaways
- 1
The highest scores are refuelling slipping or failing (16), heavy-lander delays leaving the base without cargo (16), another commercial landing failure undermining confidence in small landers (16), budget cuts or redirection to Mars (12), and the reactor slipping past 2032 (12).
- 2
A crew accident is unlikely but would have the largest impact of all (score 10, impact 5).
- 3
Several risks cluster: a refuelling slip delays both the first landing and base cargo, which in turn weakens the political case for funding.
Keep reading with Space access
This chapter (1 exhibits, 645 words) is part of Space & aerospace. Space access opens every chapter of all 11 Space reports, with the interactive models, Excel downloads, Ask and named Atlas records.
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