The Lunar Economy in 2035: a Market Map
How large could each layer of the lunar economy be by 2035, and how much of it would be open to commercial companies?
Chapter summary
Setcoin's base case puts total lunar and cislunar spending at about $18–28 billion a year by 2035, against about $12–16 billion in 2026.
Key takeaways
- 1
Governments still provide 85–95% of it.
- 2
Transport (crew and cargo) remains the largest layer at about half; surface infrastructure (power, habitats, mobility, construction) grows fastest, from under $2 billion to $5–9 billion; and commercial products sold outside government (helium-3, private payloads, media) reach perhaps $0.3–0.8 billion.
- 3
In a low case with refuelling delays and budget cuts, the total stays near $12–15 billion; in a high case with cheap heavy cargo and a funded base, it reaches $30–40 billion.
Keep reading with Space access
This chapter (3 exhibits, 529 words) is part of Space & aerospace. Space access opens every chapter of all 11 Space reports, with the interactive models, Excel downloads, Ask and named Atlas records.
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