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Chapter 92 of 101Space & aerospace2 min read · 1 exhibits

Risk Register

What could go wrong for the Earth observation industry between 2026 and 2035, how likely is it, and how severe would it be?

Chapter summary

Setcoin rates sixteen risks on likelihood and impact from 1 to 5.

Key takeaways

  1. 1

    The highest scores are falling imagery prices squeezing operators without contracts (16), further US intelligence cuts (12), sovereign deals slipping on delivery or export approvals (12), SAR overcapacity forcing consolidation (12) and European governments building their own systems instead of buying (12).

  2. 2

    A large launch failure or a Kessler-type debris event would have high impact but lower likelihood.

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This chapter (1 exhibits, 460 words) is part of Space & aerospace. Space access opens every chapter of all 11 Space reports, with the interactive models, Excel downloads, Ask and named Atlas records.

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  • Lunar, Cislunar and Settlement Economics: What the Moon Costs and Who Pays, 2026–2060
  • Earth Observation and AI Analytics: What a Square Kilometre Is Worth and Who Captures It, 2026–2035
  • In-Space Manufacturing and Microgravity Biotech: Products, Platforms and Economics, 2026–2035
  • Space-Based Solar Power: Physics, Costs and the Path to Firm Power from Orbit, 2026–2050

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