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Chapter 27 of 28Space & aerospace6 min read · 3 exhibits

Strategic Implications and Decision Framework

What should each stakeholder decide, and which signals should change their view?

Chapter summary

The decisive period runs from proposal submission in December 2026 to the crewed demonstrations needed by 2029. This chapter is not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  1. 1

    The market probably supports one or two stations, not four.

  2. 2

    The next signals are NASA’s awards in spring 2027, Haven-1’s launch and the FY2027 appropriation.

  3. 3

    Programmes that combine a NASA award, flight hardware, launch independence and non-NASA customers are best placed.

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