Risk Assessment and Mitigation
Which risks could stop a commercial station programme?
Chapter summary
Setcoin scores 20 risks on probability and impact from public information as of October 2026. Select a risk to see its exposure and mitigation.
Key takeaways
- 1
A failed funding round scores highest (15 of 25): the most likely way a programme ends is financial, not technical.
- 2
The most probable risks are a cost overrun on first-of-a-kind modules and too many stations for the demand.
- 3
The largest single exposures are a launch failure ($300–800 million) and a failed funding round; three of the 20 risks sit with NASA and Congress.
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