What Would Have to Be True
What conditions must hold for in-space manufacturing to become a real industry?
Chapter summary
six.
Key takeaways
- 1
A product must be shown, independently, to be better made in orbit; that advantage must survive attempts to replicate it on Earth; its value per kilogram must exceed capsule costs per kilogram; a regulator must accept an orbital step; capsule supply must be reliable and redundant; and platforms must be available after the ISS retires.
- 2
In October 2026, the first and third conditions hold for a few products, the fifth is improving, and the second, fourth and sixth are unproven.
- 3
Setcoin's gates give buyers and investors a checklist to track.
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