Three Futures, Told as 2035 Snapshots
What might in-space manufacturing look like in 2035 under each scenario?
Chapter summary
three snapshots make the scenarios in Chapter 76 concrete.
Key takeaways
- 1
In the low case, capsules are respected defence test beds, research continues on one or two commercial stations, and "space-made" remains a research label.
- 2
In the base case, a retina implant made with orbit-grown films is in trials or approved in one market, specialist ZBLAN fibre is sold to laser makers, two or three capsule companies fly monthly and pharma uses capsules routinely for hard formulation problems.
- 3
In the high case, a space-processed intermediate is part of a major medicine's supply chain, capsules fly weekly from several ranges and regulators have published guidance.
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