Risk Register, Signals and Method
What could go wrong, and what should readers watch?
Chapter summary
22 risks scored; funding, propulsion and interceptor depletion score highest. Signals to watch run from late 2026 to 2029.
Key takeaways
- 1
Highest risks: reconciliation unavailable from FY2028, motor and oxidiser shortage, and interceptor depletion from the wars.
- 2
Watch the FY2027 appropriation, the FY2028 interceptor request and Europe's JEWEL and HALO decisions.
- 3
Every figure is attributed; Setcoin estimates are labelled.
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